Stock market turnaround? Why is October known as the “bear killer”.

While September has lived up to its reputation as a tough month for stocks, October tends to be a “bear market killer,” known for its historically solid returns, especially during midterm years. However, skeptics warn investors that negative economic fundamentals could overshadow seasonal trends, as stocks traditionally come to an end. S&P 500 SPX Index, … Read more

Opinion: The Fed is missing a crucial turning point in its fight against inflation because it believes in flawed data

The Fed can’t see the next potential economic meltdown because it’s still looking in the rear-view mirror, seeing nothing but High inflation. The risk arises because the CPI and PCE – the two most important measures of inflation – have a fatal flaw in the way they measure shelter costs. “ If you get your … Read more

The rise of the dollar causes problems for global economies

The US dollar is experiencing a one-time high in a generation, a rise that threatens to get worse slowdown in growth The inflation problems of global central banks are amplified. The dollar’s role as the primary currency in global trade and finance means that its fluctuations have wide-ranging effects. Currency strength is felt in Fuel … Read more

In a rare sit-down, Nobel Prize-winning economist Peter Diamond sees a “major shift in power from employers to workers underway”

Peter Diamond, the 2010 Nobel Prize winner in economics, has kept away from journalism for most of his long and illustrious career, stating that he worries about being misunderstood. Given the opportunity to interview him, MarketWatch jumped at it. His supporters believe Diamond may be the smartest economist. His selection by President Barack Obama to … Read more

The next financial crisis may already be ripe, but not as many expect

A growing number of traders, academics and bond market experts are concerned that the $24 trillion US Treasury debt market could head into crisis as the Federal Reserve began its “quantitative tightening” on high alert this month. With the Fed doubling the pace that its bond holdings will “roll” its balance sheet in September, some … Read more

Quantitative tightening is about to intensify. What does that mean for the markets?

The Federal Reserve now owns about a third of the Treasury and mortgage-backed securities markets as a result of its emergency asset purchase to support the US economy during the Covid-19 pandemic. Two years of so-called quantitative easing doubled the central bank’s balance sheet to $9 trillion, equivalent to 40% of the country’s GDP. By … Read more

Why this Fed move could be the ‘wild card’ flooding the stock market

Quantitative easing is credited with generating stock returns and boosting other speculative assets by flooding markets with liquidity as the Federal Reserve raised trillions of dollars in bonds after the financial crisis and amid the coronavirus pandemic. Investors and policy makers may underestimate what happens when the tide recedes. “I don’t know if the Fed … Read more